Dubrovnik

Dubrovnik, Croatia, scores 47 on the CIRA Index of tourism resilience, #248 of 309 destinations. 26 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 81% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• CIRA Index: 47
• OECD: 45
• UN Tourism: 47
• UNDRR: 56

Strongest

• Extreme heat days: 2.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Water scarcity: very low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 4/4.
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Nights in the three busiest months: 56.2 % of annual nights (country figure) (Ekonomski institut, Zagreb / Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), 'Tourism in Croatia in 2024', 2023). Above 50: grade 0/4.
• Rent growth: 39.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (The Dubrovnik Times / Eurostat (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - Actual Rentals), Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025). Above 15: grade 0/4.
• Short-let density: 20.8 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (Airbtics / Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS Census of Population, Households and Dwellings), 2025). Above 4: grade 0/4.

Croatia in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index

Croatia is #46 of 110 countries (4.25 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 60 on the CIRA Index; Dubrovnik is 13 below that.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 42

• Nights in the three busiest months: 56.2 % of annual nights (country figure) (Ekonomski institut, Zagreb / Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), 'Tourism in Croatia in 2024', 2023). Above 50: grade 0/4. Source
• Domestic share of nights: 4.5 % of nights by residents of the same country (Croatian Bureau of Statistics (Državni zavod za statistiku - DZS), First Release TUR-2024-1-2 Tourist Arrivals and Nights in Commercial Accommodation, 2024, 2024). Below 15: grade 0/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: 22.1 % of international arrivals or nights (Croatian Bureau of Statistics (Državni zavod za statistiku - DZS), First Release TUR-2024-1-2 Tourist Arrivals and Nights in Commercial Accommodation, 2024, 2024). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4. Source
• Recovery against 2019: 103.5 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (Ministry of Tourism and Sport (eVisitor) / Xinhua, 2024). Between 100 and 110: grade 3/4. Source
• Average length of stay: 3.3 nights per visitor (Total Croatia / City of Dubrovnik / Ministry of Tourism and Sport (eVisitor), 2024). Between 2.8 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 59.9 % average annual occupancy (country figure) (Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), 'TUR-2025-1-2 Tourist Arrivals and Nights in Commercial Accommodation, 2025', 2025). Between 55 and 65: grade 2/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 58

• Jobs in tourism industries: 17.7 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). Between 16 and 22: grade 1/4. Source
• Unemployment rate: 7.5 % of the labour force (region figure) (Invest in Croatia / Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), 2025). Between 5 and 8: grade 3/4. Source
• Income per head: 50,946 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 45,000 and 60,000: grade 3/4. Source
• Economic diversity: not measured yet

Climate and hazards: 50

• Extreme heat days: 2.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 61.2 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 60 and 100: grade 1/4. Source
• Flood hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Country disaster risk: 2.5 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source

Water and environment: 50

• Water scarcity: very low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 4/4. Source
• Wastewater safely treated: 0 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (European Commission Regional Policy / Iskra, 2024). Below 50: grade 0/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 474 kg per resident per year (country figure) (Ministry of Environmental Protection and Green Transition (MZOZT) / Environmental Protection and Energy Efficiency Fund, '2023 Municipal Waste Report', 2023). Between 450 and 550: grade 2/4. Source
• Green space: not measured yet

Community and housing: 0

• Tourism intensity: 101.6 visitor nights per resident per year (Dubrovnik Tourist Board / City of Dubrovnik and Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), 2024). Above 40: grade 0/4. Source
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: 39.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (The Dubrovnik Times / Eurostat (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - Actual Rentals), Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025). Above 15: grade 0/4. Source
• Short-let density: 20.8 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (Airbtics / Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS Census of Population, Households and Dwellings), 2025). Above 4: grade 0/4. Source
• Resident support for tourism: not measured yet

Access and continuity: 71

• Access redundancy: 2 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Poslovni / Croatia Unscripted / Port of Dubrovnik, 2026). Between 2 and 3: grade 2/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Grad Dubrovnik, 2024). Grade 3/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: A written destination crisis plan (City of Dubrovnik / DURA, 2024–2026). Grade 2/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 73.1 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 60 and 80: grade 3/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source partly ring-fenced for residents, infrastructure or sustainability (European Commission, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs, 2024–2026). Grade 3/4. Source

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