Guatemala City
Guatemala City, Guatemala, scores 60 on the CIRA Index of tourism resilience, #140 of 309 destinations. 25 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 64% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.
Scores by each organisation's criteria
- CIRA Index: 60
- OECD: 66
- UN Tourism: 68
- UNDRR: 53
Travel advisory at level 3 (reconsider or avoid non-essential travel): the CIRA score is capped at 60. Without the cap: 71.
Strongest
- Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
- Tropical nights: 0 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4.
- Unemployment rate: 3.4 % of the labour force (metro figure) (Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) Guatemala, Encuesta Nacional de Empleo e Ingresos Continua (ENEIC) 4° trimestre de 2024, Q4 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
Weakest
- Wastewater safely treated: 5 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (IWA Publishing / Water Practice & Technology (citing Basterrechea & Guerra 2019 / World Bank), 2019). Below 50: grade 0/4.
- Largest foreign market: 45 % of international arrivals or nights (country figure) (Instituto Guatemalteco de Turismo (INGUAT), Boletín Estadístico de Turismo Anual 2023, 2023). Above 40: grade 0/4.
- Government effectiveness: 19.8 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4.
Guatemala in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index
Guatemala is #94 of 110 countries (3.43 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 53 on the CIRA Index; Guatemala City is 7 above that.
Every measure, by theme
Demand and seasonality: 79
- Nights in the three busiest months: 29.7 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). At or below 30: grade 4/4. Source
- Domestic share of nights: 65.2 % of nights by residents of the same country (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
- Largest foreign market: 45 % of international arrivals or nights (country figure) (Instituto Guatemalteco de Turismo (INGUAT), Boletín Estadístico de Turismo Anual 2023, 2023). Above 40: grade 0/4. Source
- Recovery against 2019: 131.3 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (country figure) (Instituto Guatemalteco de Turismo (INGUAT) / Encuesta OCUPATUR, 2024). At or above 110: grade 4/4. Source
- Average length of stay: 5.3 nights per visitor (country figure) (Instituto Guatemalteco de Turismo (INGUAT) - Plan Maestro de Turismo Sostenible de Guatemala / Encuesta de Gasto Turístico Receptor, 2023). At or above 3.5: grade 4/4. Source
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: 72 % average annual occupancy (country figure) (Instituto Guatemalteco de Turismo (INGUAT) / Encuesta OCUPATUR, 2024). Between 65 and 75: grade 3/4. Source
Economy and jobs: 69
- Jobs in tourism industries: 3.3 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4. Source
- Unemployment rate: 3.4 % of the labour force (metro figure) (Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) Guatemala, Encuesta Nacional de Empleo e Ingresos Continua (ENEIC) 4° trimestre de 2024, Q4 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Income per head: 15,197 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 15,000 and 30,000: grade 1/4. Source
- Economic diversity: 70.8 % of employment outside accommodation, food, retail and transport (country figure) (Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) de Guatemala, Encuesta Nacional de Empleo e Ingresos Continua (ENEIC), Q2 2025). Between 64 and 72: grade 2/4. Source
Climate and hazards: 60
- Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Tropical nights: 0 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
- Flood hazard: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
- Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Country disaster risk: 5.9 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 5 and 6.5: grade 1/4. Source
Water and environment: 63
- Water scarcity: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
- Wastewater safely treated: 5 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (IWA Publishing / Water Practice & Technology (citing Basterrechea & Guerra 2019 / World Bank), 2019). Below 50: grade 0/4. Source
- Municipal waste per resident: 189.4 kg per resident per year (country figure) (European Commission Knowledge for Policy / National Statistical Agency (INE Guatemala), 2019). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
- Green space: 43 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (MDPI Land: Urban Green Fabric Analysis Promoting Sustainable Planning in Guatemala City, 2020). At or above 40: grade 4/4. Source
Community and housing: 100
- Tourism intensity: not measured yet
- Cruise pressure: not measured yet
- Rent growth: 1.8 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) Guatemala, Índice de Precios al Consumidor -IPC- (Junio 2026), June 2025 – June 2026). At or below 3: grade 4/4. Source
- Short-let density: not measured yet
- Resident support for tourism: not measured yet
Access and continuity: 35
- Access redundancy: not measured yet
- Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
- Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Largest airline group share: not measured yet
- Air route concentration: not measured yet
- Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Municipalidad de Guatemala / Muniguate Al Frente, 2025–2026). Grade 3/4. Source
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (Prensa Libre / INGUAT, 2025–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
- Government effectiveness: 19.8 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4. Source
- Travel advisory: 3 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Between 2.5 and 3: grade 1/4. Source
- Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source such as a tourist tax or levy (Congreso de la República de Guatemala, 2025–2026). Grade 2/4. Source
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