Lagos

Lagos, Nigeria, scores 47 on the CIRA Index of tourism resilience, #248 of 309 destinations. 24 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 75% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

CIRA Index: 47
OECD: 49
UN Tourism: 50
UNDRR: 35

Strongest

Average length of stay: 5.8 nights per visitor (Airbtics, 'Lagos Tourism Statistics: Insights from Airbnb User', Oct 2023–Sep 2024). At or above 3.5: grade 4/4.
Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
Municipal waste per resident: 288.4 kg per resident per year (UN-Habitat & Lagos Waste Management Authority (LAWMA), Waste Wise Cities Tool in Lagos, Nigeria, 2021). At or below 350: grade 4/4.

Weakest

Government effectiveness: 12.7 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4.
Wastewater safely treated: 40.7 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (United Nations in Nigeria, Sustainable Development Goal 6: Clean Water and Sanitation, 2024). Below 50: grade 0/4.
Country disaster risk: 7.2 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Above 6.5: grade 0/4.

Nigeria in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index

Nigeria is #104 of 110 countries (3.2 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 51 on the CIRA Index; Lagos is 4 below that.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 65

Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
Domestic share of nights: 91 % of nights by residents of the same country (country figure) (World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) - Nigeria Economic Impact Report 2024, 2023). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
Largest foreign market: 27 % of international arrivals or nights (MO Africa Co / BusinessDay Nigeria, 'The Economics of Euphoria: Lagos Detty December 2025 Report', 2025). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4. Source
Recovery against 2019: 63.3 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (country figure) (UN Tourism / World Bank Development Indicators, 2024). Below 80: grade 0/4. Source
Average length of stay: 5.8 nights per visitor (Airbtics, 'Lagos Tourism Statistics: Insights from Airbnb User', Oct 2023–Sep 2024). At or above 3.5: grade 4/4. Source
Hotel bed or room occupancy: 66.7 % average annual occupancy (region figure) (Estate Intel / Punch Newspapers, 'Lagos hotel room rates hit N205,534 as supply lags', October 2025). Between 65 and 75: grade 3/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 58

Jobs in tourism industries: 1.6 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4. Source
Unemployment rate: 5.5 % of the labour force (region figure) (National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Nigeria Labour Force Survey Annual Report 2023, 2023). Between 5 and 8: grade 3/4. Source
Income per head: 9,532 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Below 15,000: grade 0/4. Source
Economic diversity: not measured yet

Climate and hazards: 35

Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
Tropical nights: 365.2 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Above 100: grade 0/4. Source
Flood hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
Wildfire and storm hazard: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
Country disaster risk: 7.2 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Above 6.5: grade 0/4. Source

Water and environment: 44

Water scarcity: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
Wastewater safely treated: 40.7 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (United Nations in Nigeria, Sustainable Development Goal 6: Clean Water and Sanitation, 2024). Below 50: grade 0/4. Source
Municipal waste per resident: 288.4 kg per resident per year (UN-Habitat & Lagos Waste Management Authority (LAWMA), Waste Wise Cities Tool in Lagos, Nigeria, 2021). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
Green space: 14 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (Husqvarna Urban Green Space Index (HUGSI), 2023). Between 10 and 20: grade 1/4. Source

Community and housing: 25

Tourism intensity: not measured yet
Cruise pressure: not measured yet
Rent growth: 15 % change in rents over the last 12 months (The Africanvestor (triangulating Estate Intel, Central Bank of Nigeria, and National Bureau of Statistics listing data), 2025–2026). Between 10 and 15: grade 1/4. Source
Short-let density: not measured yet
Resident support for tourism: not measured yet

Access and continuity: 38

Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (metro figure) (Federal Ministry of Aviation and Aerospace Development & Nigerian Railway Corporation, 2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
Largest airline group share: not measured yet
Air route concentration: not measured yet
Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Radio Nigeria Lagos / Lagos State Emergency Management Agency (LASEMA), 2026). Grade 3/4. Source
Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (THISDAYLIVE, 2025). Grade 0/4. Source
Government effectiveness: 12.7 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4. Source
Travel advisory: 3 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Between 2.5 and 3: grade 1/4. Source
Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source such as a tourist tax or levy (Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) / PwC Nigeria, 2025). Grade 2/4. Source

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