Warsaw

Warsaw, Poland, scores 71 on the CIRA Index of tourism resilience, #40 of 309 destinations. 28 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 86% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• CIRA Index: 71
• OECD: 72
• UN Tourism: 78
• UNDRR: 67

Strongest

• Domestic share of nights: 61.4 % of nights by residents of the same country (Statistics Poland (GUS) / Poland.gg Local Data Bank summary, 2025). At or above 45: grade 4/4.
• Recovery against 2019: 134.3 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (Statistical Office in Warszawa (GUS), 'Tourism in m.st. Warszawa in 2025' and 'Tourism in Warsaw capital city in 2019', 2025). At or above 110: grade 4/4.
• Unemployment rate: 1.6 % of the labour force (Ministry of Family, Labour and Social Policy (MRPiPS) / Statistics Poland (GUS), July 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Average length of stay: 1.6 nights per visitor (Statistical Office in Warszawa (GUS), 'Tourism in m.st. Warszawa in 2025', 2025). Below 1.8: grade 0/4.
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4.
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Magiczny Kraków / Association of Polish Cities (Związek Miast Polskich), 2024). Grade 1/4.

Poland in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index

Poland is #28 of 110 countries (4.46 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 62 on the CIRA Index; Warsaw is 9 above that.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 63

• Nights in the three busiest months: 32.4 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). Between 30 and 35: grade 3/4. Source
• Domestic share of nights: 61.4 % of nights by residents of the same country (Statistics Poland (GUS) / Poland.gg Local Data Bank summary, 2025). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: 15.6 % of international arrivals or nights (Warsaw Tourist Office (Stołeczne Biuro Turystyki) / Statistical Office in Warszawa, 'Turystyka w Warszawie', 2024). Between 15 and 20: grade 3/4. Source
• Recovery against 2019: 134.3 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (Statistical Office in Warszawa (GUS), 'Tourism in m.st. Warszawa in 2025' and 'Tourism in Warsaw capital city in 2019', 2025). At or above 110: grade 4/4. Source
• Average length of stay: 1.6 nights per visitor (Statistical Office in Warszawa (GUS), 'Tourism in m.st. Warszawa in 2025', 2025). Below 1.8: grade 0/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 54.4 % average annual occupancy (Statistical Office in Warszawa (GUS), 'Tourism in m.st. Warszawa in 2025', 2025). Between 45 and 55: grade 1/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 92

• Jobs in tourism industries: 3.1 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4. Source
• Unemployment rate: 1.6 % of the labour force (Ministry of Family, Labour and Social Policy (MRPiPS) / Statistics Poland (GUS), July 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Income per head: 54,262 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 45,000 and 60,000: grade 3/4. Source
• Economic diversity: not measured yet

Climate and hazards: 70

• Extreme heat days: 0.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 3.2 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
• Flood hazard: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Country disaster risk: 2.4 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source

Water and environment: 88

• Water scarcity: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
• Wastewater safely treated: 100 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (Statistics Poland (GUS), Local Data Bank (BDL) & MPWiK m.st. Warszawy, 2023). At or above 95: grade 4/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 379.6 kg per resident per year (Statistical Office in Warsaw (Urząd Statystyczny w Warszawie), 2023). Between 350 and 450: grade 3/4. Source
• Green space: 50 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (Husqvarna Urban Green Space Index (HUGSI.green), 2025). At or above 40: grade 4/4. Source

Community and housing: 81

• Tourism intensity: 4.7 visitor nights per resident per year (Urząd Statystyczny w Warszawie & Główny Urząd Statystyczny (GUS), 2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: 6.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (AMRON-SARFiN / Polish Bank Association (ZBP), 2024–2025). Between 6 and 10: grade 2/4. Source
• Short-let density: 0.9 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (Gazeta Wyborcza / DELab UW (Najem krótkoterminowy w Warszawie: charakterystyka rynku i kierunki rozwoju) & Główny Urząd Statystyczny (GUS), Feb 2024). Between 0.5 and 1: grade 3/4. Source
• Resident support for tourism: 75 % of residents who say tourism benefits them or the city (City of Warsaw (Urząd m.st. Warszawy / Warsaw Tourism Office), 'Tourism in Warsaw - report for 2019', 2019). At or above 70: grade 4/4. Source

Access and continuity: 63

• Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Urząd m.st. Warszawy / PKP Intercity / GDDKiA, 2024). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Urząd m.st. Warszawy, Bezpieczna Warszawa, 2023). Grade 3/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (Warszawska Organizacja Turystyczna / Urząd m.st. Warszawy, 2020–2024). Grade 1/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 73.6 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 60 and 80: grade 3/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Magiczny Kraków / Association of Polish Cities (Związek Miast Polskich), 2024). Grade 1/4. Source

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